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Lookalike audiences and profiling people through other people’s behavior

You do not have to behave like a customer to be targeted like one.

Sometimes it is enough to resemble customers who came before you.

That is the logic behind lookalike, similar, and predictive audiences.

An advertiser starts with a source group: buyers, leads, subscribers, site visitors, or some other known audience.

The platform then looks for other people who share useful characteristics with that group.

The seed audience teaches the model what to search for

Google’s current Demand Gen documentation describes Lookalike segments as groups of people who share characteristics with members of an existing seed list. Advertisers can use customer lists, website visitors, app users, and other first-party sources to help find new customers who resemble people they already know. See Google Ads’ Demand Gen audiences overview.

LinkedIn uses a related concept called predictive audiences. Its current documentation says the system combines a source such as a contact list, conversion audience, lead form, or retargeting group with LinkedIn’s AI to generate a new audience predicted to perform similar actions. See LinkedIn’s predictive audience documentation.

The terminology changes.

The underlying move is similar.

Behavior from Group A helps decide who belongs in Group B.

The new person may never have volunteered the defining interest

Suppose a business uploads a list of customers who bought expensive camping equipment.

The advertising platform may identify patterns among those customers and find other users who statistically resemble them.

Those new users may never have visited the retailer.

They may never have searched for a tent.

They may never have said they enjoy camping.

Their eligibility can come from similarities discovered in data available to the platform.

That is why lookalike profiling is different from ordinary retargeting.

Retargeting says:

This person interacted with us before.

Lookalike modeling says:

This person resembles people who interacted with us before.

Resemblance is not intent

Statistical similarity can be commercially useful without being a personal truth.

Two people may share age, geography, browsing patterns, device usage, media habits, professional traits, or other attributes while wanting completely different things.

A model optimized for conversions does not need to prove that a new prospect has the same motive as the seed audience.

It only needs the resemblance to improve campaign performance often enough to be useful.

That distinction matters when interpreting the profile.

A person being placed into a lookalike audience does not establish that they hold the interests, needs, politics, health status, financial situation, or intentions of the seed group.

Profiling can propagate through other people

This is one of the stranger properties of modern advertising.

Your own behavior is not the only behavior that can shape what systems infer about you.

Other people’s conversion histories can become training examples that affect whether you are selected.

The Surveillance Economy therefore does not merely watch individuals.

It compares them.

A profile can be influenced by what you did.

A predictive profile can be influenced by what people who resemble you did.

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Audience segments based on inferred interests rather than volunteered facts

A profile can say you are interested in something you never told anybody you liked.

That is not necessarily an error.

It may be the product working as designed.

Advertising systems routinely infer interests, habits, or purchase intent from behavior and then place users into audience segments.

The important word is infer.

Behavior becomes a label

Google’s current advertising documentation says Demand Gen audiences can include groups based on interests, habits, active research, demographic information, or prior interaction with a business. Google describes these audience categories as estimates and says its systems may classify people into groups such as sports fans, travelers, or people currently shopping for cars. See Google Ads’ Demand Gen audiences overview and About audience segments.

The label may therefore come from observed behavior rather than a form where the user checked:

I am currently shopping for a car.

A system might infer that interest from searches, videos, app activity, website visits, purchases, or other signals available to the platform.

The Federal Trade Commission’s 2024 report on large social-media and video-streaming services found that companies maintained user-interest information and used those interests primarily for targeted advertising. The report noted examples such as food, nightlife, parental-status-like categories, and shopping-interest segments. See A Look Behind the Screens.

An inference is useful precisely because it goes beyond volunteered data

If advertisers could target only facts people explicitly entered into profile forms, many useful commercial categories would be missing.

Someone researching tents, hiking boots, trail maps, and national parks may never click a button labeled Outdoor enthusiast.

A model can still make the inference.

That can make advertising more relevant.

It can also create labels the person never sees and never had an opportunity to correct.

The label can be wrong or stale

Behavior is ambiguous.

You may research diabetes for a relative.

You may shop for baby products for a coworker’s shower.

You may read luxury-car reviews because the engineering is interesting while having absolutely no intention of buying one.

You may spend a week researching divorce law for an article.

The resulting segment can mistake curiosity, work, gifts, research, or one-time events for stable personal interest.

And even a correct inference can expire.

A person who was shopping for a refrigerator last month probably does not want to be classified as a refrigerator enthusiast until retirement.

Segments change what the system decides to show

Once assigned, audience labels can affect ad eligibility, bidding, recommendations, campaign optimization, measurement, and other automated decisions.

That does not mean every segment produces an important consequence.

It means the system has turned behavior into a proposition about the person.

The Surveillance Economy does not only collect facts.

It manufactures new data from old data.

A browser history is one dataset.

What we think this person wants is another.