Comparing Exponential Smoothing and Deep Learning for

Bitcoin Price Prediction

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TL;DR: A four-model forecasting comparison using Bitcoin history from January 2012 through March 2021.

About This Document

The authors compare two deep-learning models, LSTM and bidirectional LSTM, with Facebook Prophet and Silverkite forecasting approaches. Their dataset spans roughly nine years of historical Bitcoin information. The paper reports Bi-LSTM error measures of 7.073 MAE and 3.639 RMSE and presents that model as the strongest result in its experiment. Those values depend on the paper's preprocessing, scale, and test design.

Why Bitcoin People May Care

This is useful as a reproducible period example of how researchers frame Bitcoin forecasting, choose model families, and compare error metrics. It does not show that the winning model can predict future markets outside the tested data. Price models age quickly, and none of the reported results should be treated as investment advice or a profit promise.

Document Details

• Title: Comparing Exponential Smoothing and Deep Learning for Bitcoin Price Prediction
• Author / organization: Nrusingha Tripathy et al.
• Year: 2025
• Language: English
• Document type: Research paper
• Pages: 9

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